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Pricing, Attributes, and Blockers:

Durable CDR Market Dynamics 2026 – 2030 

Download the second iteration of the OPIS and CDR.fyi durable carbon dioxide removal pricing survey. You can find the full 2025 survey here

The durable CDR market remains nascent, but is developing quickly. In the second year of OPIS’ and CDR.fyi’s pricing report, we dive into where prices across a range of pathways sit in 2026, how they have moved over the past year and where they are headed by 2030.

The report combines responses to a pricing survey issued to project developers and buyers. In addition to prices, the survey polled respondents on a range of other factors impacting the market, such as project attributes that command premiums, barriers holding back purchases and the roles of insurance and benchmarks.

Key Findings from the Report:

  • The current price spread between durable CDR buyers and suppliers persists in 2026, but declined slightly from an average of $107 across all methods in 2025 to $98 per tonne this year. Current survey responses projected the gap will narrow to $48 per tonne by 2030.
  • Despite a narrowing price gap in current-year buyer and seller responses, the methods with the highest contract volume, Biochar Carbon Removal (Biochar) and Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS), saw price gap projections widen out to 2030.
  • Both buyers and sellers agreed that the core requirements for CDR purchases are 100-year permanence, supplier transparency, and a proven supplier track record. Beyond the core requirements, buyers are most willing to pay a price premium for projects with certified co-benefits, 1,000+ year permanence, and alignment with government or policy frameworks.
  • The primary hurdles to finalizing deals are credit prices relative to buyers’ internal budget and business case, a lack of policy or compliance incentives, and delivery risk. Offtake and spot are the preferred contract formats for purchasers, and they expect higher forward discounts for pre-purchases than suppliers.
  • By and large, neither purchasers nor suppliers foresee durable CDR reaching $100 per tonne by 2030. It is incumbent on suppliers to demonstrate attributes that warrant price premiums over lower-priced alternatives.

Liquidity remains thin in the durable CDR market, and this report provides critical transparency into the sector.

Complete the form on this page for a copy of an abridged version of the report here, which is available in full to OPIS subscribers 

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